{"id":1345350,"date":"2024-11-10T05:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-10T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/trump-win-puts-global-corporate-tax-deal-in-peril\/"},"modified":"2024-11-10T05:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-10T05:00:00","slug":"trump-win-puts-global-corporate-tax-deal-in-peril","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/trump-win-puts-global-corporate-tax-deal-in-peril\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump win puts global corporate tax deal \u2018in peril\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- newscabal uk text -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:inline-block;width:728px;height:90px\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8162386273903324\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3688094655\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"article-body\">\n<p>Attempts to stop some of the world\u2019s biggest companies shifting profits across borders to avoid paying tax are \u201cin peril\u201d following Donald Trump\u2019s definitive win in US presidential elections, experts said. <\/p>\n<p>A global deal inked at the Paris-based OECD in 2021 and partly introduced by several countries \u2014\u00a0including EU member states, the UK, Norway, Australia, South Korea, Japan and Canada \u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/191d8388-c5c0-419c-95d6-918df6f09fc5\" data-trackable=\"link\">\u00a0earlier this year<\/a> was expected to raise the tax take from the world\u2019s biggest multinationals by up to $192bn a year. <\/p>\n<p>But experts say a crucial pillar that prevented large companies paying less than a minimum effective tax rate of 15 per cent on their corporate profits worldwide would be undermined by Trump\u2019s second term. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cPillar two is in peril,\u201d said Wei Cui, a tax law professor at the University of British Columbia. <\/p>\n<p>The structure of the OECD deal means it could affect US multinationals even though Washington has not signed it into law, despite being party to the agreement.<\/p>\n<p>Under pillar two, if corporate profits were taxed below 15 per cent in the country where the multinational was headquartered, signatories could charge a top-up levy, known as the undertaxed profits rule (UTPR). <\/p>\n<p>But experts believe that countries will now be unlikely to apply the rule to US companies for fear that a Trump-led administration would retaliate against them \u2014\u00a0including through steep tariffs on their US exports. <\/p>\n<p>Rasmus Corlin Christensen, an international tax researcher at Copenhagen Business School, said he thought \u201cpunitive\u00a0tariffs\u201d\u00a0seemed the most likely option \u201cgiven the preferred policies of the incoming administration\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>On the campaign trail, Trump said he would impose <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/ac708b43-64ae-45b8-b60d-997e7904086a\" data-trackable=\"link\">60 per cent tariffs on all Chinese goods<\/a> and across-the-board levies of 10 to 20 per cent on the rest of the world. Many of his advisers say that he wants to use these tariff threats to carve out better deals for US companies globally. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere would be criticism and potential retaliation against jurisdictions enforcing UTPRs [from the new US administration],\u201d said Daniel Bunn, chief executive of the Tax Foundation, a US think-tank. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople are going to be more hesitant to apply the UTPR because Trump is in power,\u201d said Cui. <\/p>\n<p>An OECD spokesperson said they would \u201ccontinue working with all countries to ensure a fair, rules-based international tax system\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The US championed the OECD plan under the Biden administration but failed to pass it in Congress, partly because of Republican resistance. <\/p>\n<p>Republican Congressman Jason Smith last year described the deal as \u201cBiden\u2019s global tax surrender\u201d. He <a href=\"https:\/\/waysandmeans.house.gov\/2023\/05\/25\/ways-and-means-republicans-introduce-bill-to-combat-bidens-global-tax-surrender\/\" data-trackable=\"link\">also<\/a> attacked the reforms for \u201ckilling American jobs, surrendering sovereignty over our tax code and handing a competitive advantage to the Chinese Communist party\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, Smith drafted a bill to increase the tax rate on profits of companies headquartered in jurisdictions with \u201cextraterritorial and discriminatory taxes\u201d against US multinationals. <\/p>\n<p>The bill was never legislated, however. <\/p>\n<p>Bunn said tariffs and the draft Republican bill would likely be \u201cpart of the discussion\u201d, when it came to potential retaliatory measures by the US.<\/p>\n<p>Both Bunn and Cui said Canada was likely to be in the US\u2019s sights. <\/p>\n<p>Along with the OECD deal, the US\u2019s northern neighbour has also implemented a digital services tax, which levies 3 per cent on revenue exceeding C$20mn ($14.4mn) and will affect several US tech companies.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think they will be targets for retaliation just like other jurisdictions,\u201d Bunn said. \u201cCanada is one of the US\u2019s largest trading partners. I think it would be very bad for there to be escalation\u2009.\u2009.\u2009.\u2009both in terms of trade wars and tax.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The EU, which as a jurisdiction has seen the most countries implement the global minimum tax, was the other \u201cmost obvious target\u201d of US retaliation, according to Corlin Christensen. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe UTPR is a significant part of what makes the global minimum tax effective, so it would be a significant problem if it were to be weakened,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>The first pillar of the OECD reform, which countries were already struggling to finalise, is also unlikely to progress with Trump at the helm, according to analysts.<\/p>\n<p>The pillar seeks to make big tech groups and other multinationals pay more tax in the place in which they do business. However, that would require the US to agree to other countries gaining taxing rights over their companies. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe question about pillar one for some time has been: when do you declare it dead, and I think maybe [November 6] is the death declaration,\u201d said one person with knowledge of the international negotiations. <\/p>\n<p>One of the risks for multinational businesses was that if pillar one were to fail, \u201cthat might lead to a flood of digital services taxes\u201d as countries introduced levies on tech companies unilaterally, said Will Morris, global tax policy leader at PwC. <\/p>\n<aside aria-labelledby=\"aside-label\" class=\"n-content-recommended--single-story n-content-recommended--inset\" data-component=\"recommended\">\n<p class=\"n-content-recommended__title\">Recommended<\/p>\n<div class=\"o-teaser o-teaser--article o-teaser--small o-teaser--stacked o-teaser--has-image js-teaser\" data-id=\"ccf49df1-9fcb-48ec-a4e8-e8ca5eaafd29\">\n<div class=\"o-teaser__image-container js-teaser-image-container\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/ccf49df1-9fcb-48ec-a4e8-e8ca5eaafd29\" data-trackable=\"image-link\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"o-teaser__image-placeholder\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2048\/1152\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"o-teaser__image\" src=\"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Trump-win-puts-global-corporate-tax-deal-\u2018in-peril.net.jpeg\" alt=\"Portrait of Donald Trump, Elon Musk, JD Vance, Ivanka Trump, Robert F Kennedy Jr, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr\"\/><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p>But countries taking this path could also draw retaliation from the new US administration, said analysts. <\/p>\n<p>The previous Trump administration instigated investigations into 11 nations that had either imposed digital services taxes or were planning to do so. <\/p>\n<p>The then US trade representatives served section 301 notices \u2014 a procedure used by administrations to slap tariffs on imports \u2014 on all 11 countries. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnyone who takes DSTs forward unilaterally must expect countermeasures from the US,\u201d Alex Cobham, chief executive of Tax Justice Network, a global campaigning group, said. \u201cThe idea it might show some restraint should not be taken very seriously.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Some jurisdictions might be willing to take the risk. On Thursday, EU officials did not rule out going it alone and imposing big levies on US tech groups if pillar one failed. <\/p>\n<p>Wopke Hoekstra, the official in charge of EU tax policy in the incoming European Commission, said: \u201cIt cannot be that we are not going to tax these [tech] companies because we cannot come to a global agreement.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>He added: \u201cThe preference is to do it globally. If that is not possible, I will have to convene with EU finance ministers and find a second-best solution.\u201d <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8162386273903324\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7859258044\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/75cd612d-55e3-41a9-9dee-9602e56137e3\">READ SOURCE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Attempts to stop some of the world\u2019s biggest companies shifting profits across borders to avoid paying tax are \u201cin peril\u201d following Donald Trump\u2019s definitive win in US presidential elections, experts said. A global deal inked at the Paris-based OECD in 2021 and partly introduced by several countries \u2014\u00a0including EU member states, the UK, Norway, Australia, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1345351,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oct_exclude_from_cache":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1345350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-us-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trump win puts global corporate tax deal \u2018in peril\u2019 - Business Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/trump-win-puts-global-corporate-tax-deal-in-peril\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump win puts global corporate tax deal \u2018in peril\u2019 - Business Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Attempts to stop some of the world\u2019s biggest companies shifting profits across borders to avoid paying tax are \u201cin peril\u201d following Donald Trump\u2019s definitive win in US presidential elections, experts said. 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