{"id":1285653,"date":"2023-10-13T18:23:16","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T17:23:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-november-experts-say\/"},"modified":"2023-10-13T18:23:16","modified_gmt":"2023-10-13T17:23:16","slug":"series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-november-experts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-november-experts-say\/","title":{"rendered":"Series I bond rates could rise above 5% in November, experts say"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- newscabal uk text -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:inline-block;width:728px;height:90px\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8162386273903324\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3688094655\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-6\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-6-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-107111194\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<p>Jetcityimage | Istock | Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>The annual rate for newly purchased <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/08\/11\/this-is-the-best-time-to-redeem-series-i-bonds-according-to-experts.html\">Series I bonds<\/a> could rise above 5% in November <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/12\/heres-the-inflation-breakdown-for-september-2023-in-one-chart.html\">based on inflation<\/a> and other factors, financial experts say.<\/p>\n<p>That would be an increase from the current <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2023\/05\/01\/series-i-bond-rates-fall-to-4-point-3-percent-amid-cooling-inflation.html\">4.3% interest<\/a> on I bond purchases made through Oct. 31. But it&#8217;s less than the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/11\/01\/treasury-series-i-bond-rate-is-6point89percent-through-april-2023.html\">6.89% rate<\/a> offered on I bonds bought between November 2022 through April 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Backed by the U.S. government, demand for I bonds <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/11\/01\/treasury-department-sold-record-series-i-bonds-on-friday.html\">exploded<\/a> over the past couple of years amid high inflation \u2014 and the November rate could be the fourth-highest yield since I bonds were introduced in 1998.<\/p>\n<p><strong>More from Personal Finance:<\/strong><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/12\/heres-the-inflation-breakdown-for-september-2023-in-one-chart.html\">Here&#8217;s the inflation breakdown for September 2023 \u2014 in one chart<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/12\/social-security-announces-the-cost-of-living-adjustment-for-2024.html\">Social Security announces 3.2% cost-of-living adjustment for 2024<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/11\/a-recession-may-still-be-in-the-forecast-how-you-can-prepare.html\">A recession may still be in the forecast. Here&#8217;s how you can prepare<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The U.S. Department of the Treasury adjusts I bond rates every May and November and there are <a href=\"https:\/\/treasurydirect.gov\/savings-bonds\/i-bonds\/i-bonds-interest-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">two parts<\/a> to I bond yields: a variable and fixed portion.<\/p>\n<p>The Treasury adjusts the variable rate every six months based on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/12\/cpi-september-2023.html\">inflation<\/a>. It can<a href=\"https:\/\/treasurydirect.gov\/files\/savings-bonds\/i-bond-rate-chart.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> change the fixed rate<\/a> every six months, too, but doesn&#8217;t always do so.<\/p>\n<p>(The fixed portion of the I bond rate remains the same for investors after purchase. The variable rate portion resets every six months starting on the investor&#8217;s I bond purchase date, not when the Treasury Department announces rate adjustments. You can find the rate by purchase date\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.treasurydirect.gov\/files\/savings-bonds\/i-bond-rate-chart.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>Currently, the variable rate is 3.38% and the fixed rate is 0.9%, for a rounded combined yield of 4.30% on I bonds purchased between May 1 and Oct. 31.<\/p>\n<p>Based on six months of consumer price index data, experts say the variable component is likely to rise to 3.94% in November, up from the current variable rate of 3.38%. That variable rate will change again in May 2024.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"ArticleBody-subtitle\"><a id=\"headline0\"\/>The I bond fixed rate could increase<\/h2>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>While the variable I bond rate can be calculated, based on the inflation changes over six months, the fixed rate portion is harder to predict, experts say.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The big question is what the fixed rate is going to be,&#8221; said Ken Tumin, founder and editor of DepositAccounts.com, which\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.depositaccounts.com\/blog\/inflation-treasury-series-i-savings-bonds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">tracks I bonds<\/a>, among other assets.<\/p>\n<p>The Treasury doesn&#8217;t disclose exactly how it decides on the fixed rate for I bonds, but Tumin expects it will rise based on higher yields from 10-year <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/08\/24\/ubs-upgrades-tips.html\">Treasury inflation-protected securities<\/a>, or TIPS, another government-based, inflation-linked asset.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That [fixed rate component] will be really impactful for long-term I bond investors,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote data-test=\"Pullquote\">\n<div class=\"Pullquote-pullquote\" style=\"border-top-color:#002f6c\">\n<div>\n<p>That will be really impactful for long-term I bond investors.<\/p>\n<div class=\"Pullquote-sourceWrapper\">\n<p>Ken Tumin<\/p>\n<p>Founder and editor of DepositAccounts.com<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>David Enna, founder of Tipswatch.com, a website that\u00a0tracks TIPS and <a href=\"https:\/\/tipswatch.com\/2023\/10\/12\/september-inflation-sets-i-bonds-new-variable-rate-at-3-94-social-security-cola-will-be-3-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">I bond rates<\/a>, said &#8220;there are a lot of theories&#8221; about how the Treasury decides on the fixed rate, including market yields on TIPS, among other factors.<\/p>\n<p>Enna also expects the fixed I bond rate to <a href=\"https:\/\/tipswatch.com\/2023\/10\/08\/the-i-bonds-fixed-rate-will-rise-but-by-how-much\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rise in November<\/a>, depending on the spread between the current 0.9% fixed rate and the real yield of 10-year TIPS. The real yield reflects how much TIPS investors earn yearly above inflation until maturity.<\/p>\n<p>If you expect real yields for 10-year TIPS to stay in the 2.3% to 2.4% range for the next six months, the Treasury &#8220;would be justified&#8221; to raise the fixed rate on I bonds to 1.4% or 1.5%, he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-107315963\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-107315963\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000318771\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Series-I-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-November.jpg\" alt=\"Consumer prices rose 0.4% in September, more than expected\"\/><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8162386273903324\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7859258044\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/13\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5percent-in-november-experts-say.html\">READ SOURCE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jetcityimage | Istock | Getty Images The annual rate for newly purchased Series I bonds could rise above 5% in November based on inflation and other factors, financial experts say. That would be an increase from the current 4.3% interest on I bond purchases made through Oct. 31. But it&#8217;s less than the 6.89% rate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1285654,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oct_exclude_from_cache":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1285653","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-personal-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Series I bond rates could rise above 5% in November, experts say - Business Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/13\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5percent-in-november-experts-say.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Series I bond rates could rise above 5% in November, experts say - Business Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jetcityimage | Istock | Getty Images The annual rate for newly purchased Series I bonds could rise above 5% in November based on inflation and other factors, financial experts say. 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That would be an increase from the current 4.3% interest on I bond purchases made through Oct. 31. But it&#8217;s less than the 6.89% rate [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/13\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5percent-in-november-experts-say.html","og_site_name":"Business Telegraph","article_published_time":"2023-10-13T17:23:16+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1080,"url":"http:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Series-I-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-November.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"businesstelegraph","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"businesstelegraph","Estimated reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/13\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5percent-in-november-experts-say.html#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"http:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-november-experts-say\/"},"author":{"name":"businesstelegraph","@id":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/#\/schema\/person\/0a3a6a0f58402f1f2af94e02d0987b78"},"headline":"Series I bond rates could rise above 5% in November, experts say","datePublished":"2023-10-13T17:23:16+00:00","dateModified":"2023-10-13T17:23:16+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"http:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-november-experts-say\/"},"wordCount":552,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/13\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5percent-in-november-experts-say.html#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Series-I-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-November.jpeg","articleSection":["personal finance"],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/www.businesstelegraph.co.uk\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5-in-november-experts-say\/","url":"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/13\/series-i-bond-rates-could-rise-above-5percent-in-november-experts-say.html","name":"Series I bond rates could rise above 5% in November, experts say - 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