The central bank warned that the reciprocal tariffs introduced by US President Donald Trump can affect India’s net external demand.
However, while India still has some tariff advantages compared to other countries, the RBI warned that the global slowdown caused by trade tensions will likely affect domestic growth and export performance.
“There are, however, several known unknowns – the impact of relative tariffs, the elasticities of our export and import demand; and the policy measures adopted by the Government including the proposed Foreign Trade Agreement with the USA, to name a few. These make the quantification of the adverse impact difficult,” read the bulletin.