The Toronto Maple Leafs (24-14-8) meet in the 2nd installment of a back-to-back set with the Winnipeg Jets (30-11-5) Saturday. Puck drop at Canada Life Centre is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Maple Leafs outlasted the Jets 1-0 in overtime Wednesday in the front end of the back-to-back. Auston Matthews sent the fans home happy with the OT winner at 4:13 of the extra session, beating Laurent Brossoit. The Under has cashed in the past 2 games for Toronto, while going 4-2 in the past 6 games overall.
The Jets have had a power outage on offense lately, totaling just 9 goals in the past 6 games, and Winnipeg has been shut out twice in the previous 5 contests. Winnipeg is 10-1-1 in the past 12 home games dating back to Dec. 2. The Under is on a 6-0-1 run for the Jets, too, while going 10-1-3 across the past 14 outings dating back to Dec. 27.
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Maple Leafs at Jets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last update at 12:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Jets -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) | Jets -1.5 (+185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Maple Leafs at Jets projected goalies
Ilya Samsonov (7-3-6, 3.45 GAA, .875 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Connor Hellebuyck (23-8-5, 2.17 GAA, .925 SV%, 2 SO)
Samsonov kicked aside all 32 shots he faced in the front end of the back-to-back set against the Jets. Since returning to the Maple Leafs after a brief stint on waivers, Samsonov is 2-1-0 with a 1.31 GAA and .944 SV% with 1 shutout in 3 starts since Jan. 14.
Hellebuyck allowed 3 goals on just 20 shots in a 4-1 loss at Boston last time out. Despite the loss, he has still allowed 3 or fewer goals in 26 starts dating back to Nov. 2 at Vegas.
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Maple Leafs at Jets picks and predictions
Prediction
Jets 3, Maple Leafs 2
Moneyline
The JETS (-130) are a solid play for the bounce back, especially with Hellebuyck expected to be back in the crease.
Winnipeg was on the short end of a 4-1 score in Boston in Hellebuyck’s most recent start, but it is 13-2-2 in his past 17 outings.
The Maple Leafs (+105) are 6-2-2 in the past 10 games on the road, so this will be anything but easy for the home side. Expect another low-scoring defensive battle in the ‘Peg.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk and not enough reward, if you need a little bit of insurance and can’t bring yourself to play Toronto straight up.
AVOID.
Over/Under
The UNDER 6 (-105) is worth a look after the teams played a scoreless regulation in the front end of the back-to-back.
The Under has hit in 4 of the past 6 games for the Maple Leafs, including each of the past 3 starts by Samsonov.
The total has also gone low at a 6-0-1 clip in the previous 7 games for the Jets, while cashing at a 6-1-3 pace in the past 10 starts by Hellebuyck.
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