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Stock Market Highlights: Nifty trying to form a near-term bottom. What traders should do next week – Economic Times


08:01 PM

ECB watchdog sees no Europe contagion after US, Swiss bank rescues

European Central Bank supervisors see no contagion for euro zone banks from recent sector turmoil, a source said on Friday, even as rescue deals for Credit Suisse and First Republic Bank failed to arrest pressure on their share prices.

Big U.S. banks swooped on Thursday with a $30 billion lifeline for San Francisco-based First Republic, which has been under scrutiny since the collapse of two other mid-size U.S. banks, and tapped record amounts from the Federal Reserve.

07:57 PM

India banking system remains stable, resilient, says RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das

India’s banking system continues to be stable and resilient, and lenders have built sufficient buffers to shield themselves from any unforeseen stress, the governor of the Reserve Bank of India said on Friday, amid the recent turmoil in the sector globally.

“We continuously do stress tests. We identify any potential build-up of risk in any institution and we constantly engage with the management of banks through supervisors,” RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said.

“Our job is to keep on supervising and highlighting the risks and challenges that are emerging.”

07:41 PM

IREDA gets Cabinet go-ahead for listing on stock exchanges

An Initial Public Offer (IPO) via part sale of government’s stake in IREDA will raise funds through issue of fresh equity shares. DIPAM will drive the listing process. The IPO will serve the dual purpose of unlocking the value of Government’s investment while providing an opportunity to the public to acquire stake in the national asset.

07:30 PM

India bond yields little changed ahead of Fed policy, ends week lower

The government bond yields ended little changed on Friday, tracking overnight movement in U.S. peers, while awaiting the Federal Reserve’s policy decision due Wednesday.The 10-year benchmark 7.26% 2032 bond yield ended at 7.3511%, after closing lower at 7.3526% on Thursday. The yield, however, fell 8 basis points (bps) this week, after remaining largely unchanged for the last two weeks.

07:23 PM

US stocks open lower as bank worries linger

Wall Street’s main indexes opened lower on Friday as investors remained wary about a potential banking crisis even as the country’s largest banks came to the rescue of troubled regional lender First Republic Bank.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 29.23 points, or 0.09%, at the open to 32,217.32.

05:53 PM

SVB Financial seeks bankruptcy protection

SVB Financial Group said on Friday it planned to seek bankruptcy protection among other restructuring alternatives to seek buyers for its assets, days after its former unit Silicon Valley Bank was taken over by U.S. banking regulators.

05:40 PM

Doorstep lender NSF shareholders may lose all in sale plan

British doorstep lender Non-Standard Finance outlined plans to recapitalise itself by raising about 95 million pounds ($115.57 million) through a share sale that would wipe out the interests of existing stockholders.

Shares in the company fell 9.7% to 0.44 pence by 0832 GMT after its unsecured lending unit Everyday Lending on Friday launched a business rescue proposal to enable the capital raise.

A Doji pattern followed by a recovery candle on the daily chart indicates the possibility of a bullish reversal. On the higher end, immediate resistance is placed at 17250, where the bears might try to return to the market. However, if bulls take the Nifty above 17250, the index may move towards 17500–17600. On the lower end, support remains intact at 16950.

– Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities

04:57 PM

Gold climbs Rs 400; silver tumbles Rs 430

Gold price climbed Rs 400 to Rs 58,040 per 10 gram in the national capital on Friday amid a rise in the precious metal prices globally, according to HDFC Securities. The yellow metal had settled at Rs 57,640 per 10 gram in the previous trade.
Silver, however, tumbled Rs 430 to Rs 67,600 per kilogram.

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“Spot gold prices in the Delhi markets traded at Rs 58,040 per 10 gram, up Rs 400 per 10 gram,” Saumil Gandhi, Senior Analyst – Commodities at HDFC Securities, said.

In the overseas markets, gold was quoting higher at USD 1,928 per ounce while silver was down at USD 21.87 per ounce.

The Bank Nifty index witnessed a sharp recovery from the lowest levels and the index formed a morning star pattern on the daily chart. The index if it manages to hold the support of 39,000 on the downside can witness a pullback rally towards 40,000. A sustained move above 40,000 will open up room for a big rally toward the 41,000 level.

– Kunal Shah, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities.

04:50 PM

Tech View: Nifty trying to form near-term bottom. What should traders do next week

While negating the formation of lower lows of the last seven trading sessions, Nifty today formed a Doji candle with long lower shadow on the daily scale. Now, it has to hold above 17,071 zones to witness a bounce towards 17,171-17,250 zones, while on the downside supports are seen at 16,950 and 16,800 levels, said Chandan Taparia of Motilal Oswal.

Option data suggests a broader trading range between 16,600 and 17,500 zones while an immediate trading range between 16,800 and 17,250 zones.

Chart readers said the formation of two back to back Doji patterns in the last two sessions indicate that the market is in the process of a near-term bottom formation.

04:34 PM

Tata Consumer drops acquisition talks with Bisleri

India’s Tata Consumer Products Ltd on Friday said it had ceased discussions with packaged water maker Bisleri International about a potential acquisition.
Bisleri chairman Ramesh Chauhan had decided to sell the company to Tata Consumer Products for up to 70 billion rupees ($848 million), the Economic Times newspaper reported in November.

“The company has not entered into any definitive agreement or binding commitment on this matter,” Tata Consumer, which sells the popular Tata Salt and Himalayan-branded mineral water, said in a stock exchange filing after market closed.

Rupee traded positive above 82.60 today as the participants offloaded the dollar after positive sentiments as Eleven U.S. banks, JP Morgan and others will deposit up-to $30 billion into First Republic Bank coming to rescue the lender caught up in a crisis triggered by the collapse of two U.S. lenders. Rupee can continue the volatile moves as prices shall factor in the FED’s policy and FED’s view point into the financial sector impacted by interest rate high cycle.

– Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst at LKP Securities.

03:50 PM

Sebi makes stringent disclosure norms for FPIs

Capital markets regulator Sebi has made stringent norms for Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs), asking them to disclose any material change in their structure and common ownership within seven working days. With regard to new FPI registrations, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) can ask them for any additional documents which may be required, according to a notification.
Under the new rules, FPIs will inform Sebi and designated depository about any false or misleading information about change in material respect and any change in their structure or control within seven working days in writing.

Global equity markets reacted to the crisis in US and European banks. Indian markets were under pressure from these global developments. Accordingly, key domestic benchmark indices Nifty-50 and Sensex-30 were down during the week. Broader indices including BSE Midcap, BSE Small-cap and majority of the sectoral indices too posted negative returns in this week. On the economy front, India’s February 2023 CPI inflation moderated to 6.44% and trade deficit remained in check with marginal increases (over January 2023) in exports and imports. Crude oil prices corrected sharply this week amid the recent banking crisis. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury was lower as compared with last week. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 50 bps and continued with its policy tightening measures. Market participants will keenly watch-out for next week’s Federal Reserve policy decision.

– Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Equity Research (Retail), Kotak Securities

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03:16 PM

Oil rises on demand hopes as banking crisis fears subside

Oil prices firmed on Friday after a meeting between Saudi Arabia and Russia calmed markets amid strong China demand expectations, but were headed for their biggest weekly falls since December as a banking crisis rocked global financial and oil markets.

Brent crude futures firmed by 30 cents to $75 a barrel by 0704 GMT, having snapped three days of losses to settle 1.4% higher on Thursday.

03:08 PM

Goldman Sachs and other banks expect smaller hike from ECB in May

Goldman Sachs and two other banks expect the European Central Bank to deliver a smaller quarter-point hike in May as it grapples with stress in the banking sector and high core inflation.

Goldman earlier expected the ECB to deliver a 50 bps hike in May. The Wall Street bank’s terminal rate forecast now stands at 3.5%, down from 3.75% previously.

The change in forecast follows the ECB’s decision to press ahead with a 50 bps hike, taking the deposit facility rate to 3%, despite calls from some rate-setters for a smaller raise amid uncertainty in the banking sector.

02:16 PM

TCS, Infosys have highest exposure to U.S. regional banks – J.P.Morgan

Top Indian information technology firms Tata Consultancy Services and Infosys have the highest exposure to regional banks in the United States that are gripped by a financial turmoil, analysts at J.P.Morgan said on Friday.
Regional banks in the United States account for 2-3% of their revenue, J.P. Morgan said in a note, adding that the exposure to the recently collapsed Silicon Valley Bank could be 10-20 basis points for TCS, Infosys and smaller rival LTIMindtree, with the Tata group company in the lead.

All three companies might need to set aside provisions in the fourth quarter due to their exposure to SVB, J.P. Morgan said in a note.

01:57 PM

European shares rise as banking turmoil fears ease; set to end week lower

European shares extended recovery for a second straight session on Friday as supportive measures for banks in the United States and Europe calmed fears about an imminent collapse, but the index was set to post a second straight weekly drop.

The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.8% by 0805 GMT, as banks gained 1.3%, after a $30 billion lifeline by large U.S. banks for embattled lender First Republic Bank . The package came less than a day after Swiss bank Credit Suisse clinched an emergency central bank loan of up to $54 billion to shore up its liquidity.

Credit Suisse rose 1.8% in early trade, after jumping 19% on Thursday.

01:34 PM

Japanese shares end higher as worries over banking crisis ease

Japan’s Nikkei share average ended higher on Friday, led by banking and electronics stocks, as easing worries over crisis at U.S. private lender Silicon Valley Bank and Swiss bank Credit Suisse Group propped sentiment.

The Nikkei closed 1.2% higher at 27,333.79, while the broader Topix ended up 1.15% at 1,959.42.

The Nikkei index, however, ended lower for the week, amid a brewing banking crisis that sent bond yields plunging, while market participants sharply lowered expectations of future interest rate hikes in Western economies.

The stronger closings for the day follow a risk rally in the broader Asian markets and Wall Street overnight, which are set to spill over to European equities.

12:46 PM

Crypto Price Today: Bitcoin rises above $25,900; BNB, Dogecoin surge upto 5%

The cryptocurrency markets were trading higher in Friday’s trade with crypto heavyweights like BTC and ETH leading the rally. Bitcoin (BTC) rose 5.45% to $25,906, whereas Ethereum (ETH) was above the $1,700 level.

“Bitcoin is inching closer towards the $26,000 mark. Following the Arbitrum Airdrop announcement that came out yesterday evening, the sentiments across the crypto market took a positive turn. It is one of the biggest and most awaited events since the past several months,” Edul Patel, Co-founder and CEO at Mudrex, said.

Other top crypto tokens were also trading higher. BNB and Polygon surged over 4%. Dogecoin, Solana and Shiba Inu were also trading with gains. Meanwhile, the global cryptocurrency market cap was trading higher around $1.11 trillion, rising 3.85% in the last 24 hour

11:16 AM

Maiden Forgings to launch IPO next week; aims to raise Rs 24 crore

Steel bars and wires manufacturer Maiden Forgings on Friday said it will launch Initial Public Offering (IPO) to raise Rs 24 crore. The IPO will open on March 22 and close on March 24, Maiden Forgings said in a statement. Out of the total 37,84,000 equity shares on offer, not more than 17,97,000 equity shares have been reserved for Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIB). A total of 5,39,100 shares have been reserved for Non-Institutional Investors (NII) and the rest for retail individual investors.

10:37 AM

TOP READ | Vijay Kedia’s funda to deal with confused Nifty

With the headline index Nifty down around 10% from its 52-week high level amid a string of global and local worries, Dalal Street’s top value investor Vijay Kedia’s formula is simple – treat inactivity as an activity.

“Prudent investors must think about what will happen next year and not this year. Spend time in the market, don’t be too adventurous. Just wait for the bottom. Remember that inactivity is also an activity in the market,” says Kedia when asked about investing strategy in the current market situation.

09:48 AM

Nifty outlook by Anand James – Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.

That the bearish onslaught failed to push beyond 16800 encourages us to keep the upside trajectory inplay. We had pencilled in 17470 as the measured objective for the recovery push. The first challenge would obviously be from the recent reaction peak of 17224, which had held supreme on multiple days, but we do not expect much drama this time. However, if exhaustion sets in on approach to 17320, be advised on the importance of 17000 as a downside reversal level from here on.



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