Speaking to Auto Express, Professor of Business Economics at Birmingham University, David Bailey, said Trump’s threat of flat 20 per cent tariffs “would be a sizeable hit for UK manufacturing, impacting most on high-value sectors such as automotive”. Bailey warned that this could result in exports falling by up to £22 billion across all sectors, with the US being “particularly important for the UK’s premium and luxury auto producers”
There could be some light at the end of the tunnel, however; Reeves has already begun switching up her negative rhetoric in a push for UK economic growth, including an injection of cash for on-street public chargers and the metal manufacturing industry, which supports the production of EVs.
Furthermore, AutoAnalysis, the analytics firm that produced the SMMT’s projections for 2025, predicts that production output for cars and LCVs could see a vast increase to more than one million units by 2028. However, only time will tell whether such a figure becomes reality, given that the UK’s car manufacturing industry has generally been on a downward trend since Brexit in 2016.
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